Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis
Wildfires are growing more intense, and wildfire-induced industrial accidents and near-misses are increasing. These trends demand dedicated quantitative risk analysis (QRA) for wildfire Natech accidents. This paper assessed wildfire exposure pathways to industrial components through input from two i...
| Autores: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2026 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) |
| Repositorio: | UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:dnet:upcommonspor::c8dda430bf903bd2a3bc6e72a86d0fd1 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/2117/461436 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2026.112771 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Wildfire Natech Risk Fault tree analysis Hazard Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria química |
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Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysisDossi, Simona|||0000-0002-2212-5934Pastor Ferrer, Elsa|||0000-0002-2985-3635Agueda Costafreda, Alba|||0000-0001-5021-8014Vacca, Pascale|||0000-0001-5863-1030Planas Cuchi, Eulàlia|||0000-0002-7053-3959WildfireNatechRiskFault tree analysisHazardÀrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria químicaWildfires are growing more intense, and wildfire-induced industrial accidents and near-misses are increasing. These trends demand dedicated quantitative risk analysis (QRA) for wildfire Natech accidents. This paper assessed wildfire exposure pathways to industrial components through input from two international stakeholder workshops and a fault tree analysis (FTA); the FTA highlights missing models and data to estimate wildfire induced industrial failure. Establishing a wildfire Natech QRA methodology requires wildfire hazard metric models and critical industrial components response tests to the most likely hazard mechanisms. Considering four exposure mechanisms (flame radiation, flame contact, firebrand exposure, and the fire environment), the FTA identifies 30 basic or underdeveloped events that shape impact pathways in chemical industries. The identified events directly indicate the missing models and investigations required to formalise wildfire Natech risk assessments. A case study illustrates the FTA for two industrial components, estimating the fire probability of an external floating roof tank and the loss of containment probability for plastic intermediate bulk containers exposed to normal and extreme wildfire conditions.This research was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (Grant PID2023-150607OB-I00 by MICIU/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and by ERDF/EU), and by the FIREPRIME project (101140381 — FIREPRIME — UCPM-2023-KAPP). A. Àgueda is a Serra Húnter Fellow.Elsevier20262026-04-0120262026-05-08journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://hdl.handle.net/2117/461436https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2026.112771reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCinstname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)InglésengAgencia Estatal de Investigación http://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2021-2023 PID2023-150607OB-I00 DESARROLLO DE UN NUEVO MARCO DE EVALUACION DE RIESGOS INTELIGENTE Y DINAMICO MEDIANTE EL USO DE IA Y CFDEuropean Commission http://doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 UCPM 101140381 FIREPRIMEopen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:dnet:upcommonspor::c8dda430bf903bd2a3bc6e72a86d0fd12026-05-27T15:37:01Z |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis |
| title |
Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis |
| spellingShingle |
Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis Dossi, Simona|||0000-0002-2212-5934 Wildfire Natech Risk Fault tree analysis Hazard Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria química |
| title_short |
Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis |
| title_full |
Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis |
| title_fullStr |
Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis |
| title_sort |
Wildfire natech accidents in the wildland-industrial interface: exposure pathways analysis |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv |
Dossi, Simona|||0000-0002-2212-5934 Pastor Ferrer, Elsa|||0000-0002-2985-3635 Agueda Costafreda, Alba|||0000-0001-5021-8014 Vacca, Pascale|||0000-0001-5863-1030 Planas Cuchi, Eulàlia|||0000-0002-7053-3959 |
| author |
Dossi, Simona|||0000-0002-2212-5934 |
| author_facet |
Dossi, Simona|||0000-0002-2212-5934 Pastor Ferrer, Elsa|||0000-0002-2985-3635 Agueda Costafreda, Alba|||0000-0001-5021-8014 Vacca, Pascale|||0000-0001-5863-1030 Planas Cuchi, Eulàlia|||0000-0002-7053-3959 |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Pastor Ferrer, Elsa|||0000-0002-2985-3635 Agueda Costafreda, Alba|||0000-0001-5021-8014 Vacca, Pascale|||0000-0001-5863-1030 Planas Cuchi, Eulàlia|||0000-0002-7053-3959 |
| author2_role |
author author author author |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
Wildfire Natech Risk Fault tree analysis Hazard Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria química |
| topic |
Wildfire Natech Risk Fault tree analysis Hazard Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria química |
| description |
Wildfires are growing more intense, and wildfire-induced industrial accidents and near-misses are increasing. These trends demand dedicated quantitative risk analysis (QRA) for wildfire Natech accidents. This paper assessed wildfire exposure pathways to industrial components through input from two international stakeholder workshops and a fault tree analysis (FTA); the FTA highlights missing models and data to estimate wildfire induced industrial failure. Establishing a wildfire Natech QRA methodology requires wildfire hazard metric models and critical industrial components response tests to the most likely hazard mechanisms. Considering four exposure mechanisms (flame radiation, flame contact, firebrand exposure, and the fire environment), the FTA identifies 30 basic or underdeveloped events that shape impact pathways in chemical industries. The identified events directly indicate the missing models and investigations required to formalise wildfire Natech risk assessments. A case study illustrates the FTA for two industrial components, estimating the fire probability of an external floating roof tank and the loss of containment probability for plastic intermediate bulk containers exposed to normal and extreme wildfire conditions. |
| publishDate |
2026 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2026 2026-04-01 2026 2026-05-08 |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv |
journal article http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 VoR http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
| dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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article |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv |
https://hdl.handle.net/2117/461436 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2026.112771 |
| url |
https://hdl.handle.net/2117/461436 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2026.112771 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv |
Inglés eng |
| language_invalid_str_mv |
Inglés |
| language |
eng |
| dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Agencia Estatal de Investigación http://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2021-2023 PID2023-150607OB-I00 DESARROLLO DE UN NUEVO MARCO DE EVALUACION DE RIESGOS INTELIGENTE Y DINAMICO MEDIANTE EL USO DE IA Y CFD European Commission http://doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 UCPM 101140381 FIREPRIME |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv |
open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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open access http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
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openAccess |
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application/pdf |
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Elsevier |
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Elsevier |
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reponame:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC instname:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) |
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