Modelling stock returns with AR-GARCH processes

Financial returns are often modelled as autoregressive time series with random disturbances having conditional heteroscedastic variances, especially with GARCH type processes. GARCH processes have been intensely studying in financial and econometric literature as risk models of many financial time s...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Ferenstein, Elzbieta, Gasowski, Miroslaw
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2004
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2099/3744
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2099/3744
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Inference
Mathematical economics
Inferència
Processos estocàstics
Matemàtica financera
Classificació AMS::62 Statistics::62M Inference from stochastic processes
Classificació AMS::91 Game theory, economics, social and behavioral sciences::91B Mathematical economics
Descripción
Sumario:Financial returns are often modelled as autoregressive time series with random disturbances having conditional heteroscedastic variances, especially with GARCH type processes. GARCH processes have been intensely studying in financial and econometric literature as risk models of many financial time series. Analyzing two data sets of stock prices we try to fit AR(1) processes with GARCH or EGARCH errors to the log returns. Moreover, hyperbolic or generalized error distributions occur to be good models of white noise distributions.