Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission

The final infection size is defined as the total number of individuals that become infected throughout an epidemic. Despite its importance for predicting the fraction of the population that will end infected, it does not capture which part of the infected population will present symptoms. Knowing th...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Barril, Carles|||0000-0002-4612-5533, Bliman, Pierre-Alexandre, Cuadrado Gavilán, Sílvia|||0000-0003-2051-2030
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2023
País:España
Recursos:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:282877
Acesso em linha:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/282877
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1007/s11538-023-01159-y
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Final infection size
Symptomatic population
Reproduction number
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spelling Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic TransmissionBarril, Carles|||0000-0002-4612-5533Bliman, Pierre-AlexandreCuadrado Gavilán, Sílvia|||0000-0003-2051-2030Final infection sizeSymptomatic populationReproduction numberThe final infection size is defined as the total number of individuals that become infected throughout an epidemic. Despite its importance for predicting the fraction of the population that will end infected, it does not capture which part of the infected population will present symptoms. Knowing this information is relevant because it is related to the severity of the epidemics. The objective of this work is to give a formula for the total number of symptomatic cases throughout an epidemic. Specifically, we focus on different types of structured SIR epidemic models (in which infected individuals can possibly become symptomatic before recovering), and we compute the accumulated number of symptomatic cases when time goes to infinity using a probabilistic approach. The methodology behind the strategy we follow is relatively independent of the details of the model. 22023-01-0120232023-01-01Articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501VoRhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85info:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://ddd.uab.cat/record/282877https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1007/s11538-023-01159-yreponame:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UABinstname:Universitat Autònoma de BarcelonaInglésengAgencia Estatal de Investigación https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 PID2021-123733NB-I00Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003030 2021/SGR-00113open accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessoai:ddd.uab.cat:2828772026-06-06T12:50:31Z
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
title Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
spellingShingle Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
Barril, Carles|||0000-0002-4612-5533
Final infection size
Symptomatic population
Reproduction number
title_short Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
title_full Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
title_fullStr Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
title_full_unstemmed Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
title_sort Final Size for Epidemic Models with Asymptomatic Transmission
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Barril, Carles|||0000-0002-4612-5533
Bliman, Pierre-Alexandre
Cuadrado Gavilán, Sílvia|||0000-0003-2051-2030
author Barril, Carles|||0000-0002-4612-5533
author_facet Barril, Carles|||0000-0002-4612-5533
Bliman, Pierre-Alexandre
Cuadrado Gavilán, Sílvia|||0000-0003-2051-2030
author_role author
author2 Bliman, Pierre-Alexandre
Cuadrado Gavilán, Sílvia|||0000-0003-2051-2030
author2_role author
author
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Final infection size
Symptomatic population
Reproduction number
topic Final infection size
Symptomatic population
Reproduction number
description The final infection size is defined as the total number of individuals that become infected throughout an epidemic. Despite its importance for predicting the fraction of the population that will end infected, it does not capture which part of the infected population will present symptoms. Knowing this information is relevant because it is related to the severity of the epidemics. The objective of this work is to give a formula for the total number of symptomatic cases throughout an epidemic. Specifically, we focus on different types of structured SIR epidemic models (in which infected individuals can possibly become symptomatic before recovering), and we compute the accumulated number of symptomatic cases when time goes to infinity using a probabilistic approach. The methodology behind the strategy we follow is relatively independent of the details of the model.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2
2023-01-01
2023
2023-01-01
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv Article
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
VoR
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://ddd.uab.cat/record/282877
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1007/s11538-023-01159-y
url https://ddd.uab.cat/record/282877
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1007/s11538-023-01159-y
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv Inglés
eng
language_invalid_str_mv Inglés
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Agencia Estatal de Investigación https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 PID2021-123733NB-I00
Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003030 2021/SGR-00113
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.openaire.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv open access
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
instname:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
instname_str Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
reponame_str Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
collection Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
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repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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