AN APPLICATION TO FORECAST VOLATILITY IN THE LIMA STOCK MARKET

A method is proposed to analyze data generated by a family of stochastic processes called autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic processes (ARCH), which are widely used to predict volatility of financial time series. An ARCE model is used to predict the volatility of the Atacocha mining company...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Elescano Rojas, Adolfo, Agüero Palacios, Ysela Dominga
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versão publicada
Data de publicação:2004
País:Perú
Recursos:Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
Repositório:Revistas - Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
Idioma:espanhol
OAI Identifier:oai:revistasinvestigacion.unmsm.edu.pe:article/9318
Acesso em linha:https://revistasinvestigacion.unmsm.edu.pe/index.php/matema/article/view/9318
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:Modelos ARCH
series financieras
volatilidad
heterocedasticidad condicional
retornos financieros
riesgo.
ARCH models
financial time series
volatility
conditional heteroscedasticity
financial returns
risk
Descrição
Resumo:A method is proposed to analyze data generated by a family of stochastic processes called autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic processes (ARCH), which are widely used to predict volatility of financial time series. An ARCE model is used to predict the volatility of the Atacocha mining company stock price based on the data from 1992 to 2003.