AN APPLICATION TO FORECAST VOLATILITY IN THE LIMA STOCK MARKET

A method is proposed to analyze data generated by a family of stochastic processes called autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic processes (ARCH), which are widely used to predict volatility of financial time series. An ARCE model is used to predict the volatility of the Atacocha mining company...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Elescano Rojas, Adolfo, Agüero Palacios, Ysela Dominga
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2004
País:Perú
Institución:Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
Repositorio:Revistas - Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:revistasinvestigacion.unmsm.edu.pe:article/9318
Acceso en línea:https://revistasinvestigacion.unmsm.edu.pe/index.php/matema/article/view/9318
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Modelos ARCH
series financieras
volatilidad
heterocedasticidad condicional
retornos financieros
riesgo.
ARCH models
financial time series
volatility
conditional heteroscedasticity
financial returns
risk
Descripción
Sumario:A method is proposed to analyze data generated by a family of stochastic processes called autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic processes (ARCH), which are widely used to predict volatility of financial time series. An ARCE model is used to predict the volatility of the Atacocha mining company stock price based on the data from 1992 to 2003.