The relationship between GDP and trade balance after 15 years of NAFTA

This article proposes an econometric analysis based on the economic theory proposed by Thirlwall's law to establish the relationship between gross domestic product (GDP) -as an endogenous variable- and the trade balance -as an explanatory variable. One of the purposes of this study is to determ...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Cortés Fregoso, José Héctor, Domínguez González, José Antonio
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2009
País:México
Institución:UNIVERSIDAD DE GUADALAJARA
Repositorio:Expresión Económica
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs2.148.202.248.171:article/727
Acceso en línea:https://expresioneconomica.cucea.udg.mx/index.php/eera/article/view/727
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Trade balance
mexican economy
NAFTA
GDP
PIB
Balanza comercial
Economía mexicana
TLCAN
Descripción
Sumario:This article proposes an econometric analysis based on the economic theory proposed by Thirlwall's law to establish the relationship between gross domestic product (GDP) -as an endogenous variable- and the trade balance -as an explanatory variable. One of the purposes of this study is to determine whether there was a substantial change in the values of these variables after the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) came into force. For this purpose, chronological data for the period 1989-2007 have been considered. Another objective is to specify an econometric model that helps to establish forecasts of the variables in the model over time.