Did Nafta Help Mexico? An Update After 23 Years

This note compares the performance of the Mexican economy with that of the rest of the region over 23 years, since NAFTA took effect, based on the available economic and social indicators. Among the results, it finds that Mexico ranks 15th out of 20 Latin American countries in growth of real GDP per...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Weisbrot, Mark, Merling, Lara, Mello, Vitor, Lefebvre, Stephan, Sammut, Joseph
Format: article
Status:Published version
Publication Date:2018
Country:México
Institution:UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL AUTÓNOMA DE MÉXICO
Repository:Mexican Law Review
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/12515
Online Access:https://revistas.juridicas.unam.mx/index.php/mexican-law-review/article/view/12515
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:NAFTA
economic policy
income
growth
employment
poverty
TLCAN
políticas económicas
ingreso
crecimiento
empleo
pobreza
Description
Summary:This note compares the performance of the Mexican economy with that of the rest of the region over 23 years, since NAFTA took effect, based on the available economic and social indicators. Among the results, it finds that Mexico ranks 15th out of 20 Latin American countries in growth of real GDP per person, the most basic economic measure of living standards; Mexico’s poverty rate in 2014 was higher than the poverty rate of 1994; and real wages (inflation-adjusted) were almost the same in 2014 as in 1994. It also notes that if NAFTA had been successful in restoring Mexico’s pre-1980 growth rate —when developmentalist economic policies were the norm— Mexico today would be a high-income country, with income per person comparable to Western European countries. If not for Mexico’s long-term economic failure, including the 23 years since NAFTA, it is unlikely that immigration from Mexico would have become a major political issue in the United States, since relatively few Mexicans would seek to cross the border.