EFFECT OF NORTH AMERICAN TRADE AGREEMENTS ON AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS FROM MEXICO TO THE UNITED STATES
International trade has historically driven trade flows and strengthened national capacities. However, the impact of trade agreements between Mexico and the United States is neither clear nor conclusive, at least on agricultural issues. Through a cointegration analysis using an error correction mode...
| Autores: | , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2023 |
| País: | México |
| Institución: | UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL AUTÓNOMA DE MÉXICO |
| Repositorio: | Investigación Económica |
| Idioma: | español |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/83363 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.revistas.unam.mx/index.php/rie/article/view/83363 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | tratados comerciales TLCAN T-MEC exportaciones agrícolas análisis de cointegración Trade agreements NAFTA USMCA agricultural exports cointegration analysis |
| Sumario: | International trade has historically driven trade flows and strengthened national capacities. However, the impact of trade agreements between Mexico and the United States is neither clear nor conclusive, at least on agricultural issues. Through a cointegration analysis using an error correction model, the work seeks to assess the effects of NAFTA and USMCA on agricultural exports from Mexico to the US during 1980-2021. Despite NAFTA not having a significant effect on the level of these exports, the USMCA is having both direct and indirect effects (through the real exchange rate) on them. We concluded that USMCA may change the inertia of recent years in agricultural export levels, provided the provisions of the treaty are adhered to. |
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