Exportaciones en México: un análisis de cointegración y causalidad (1980-2012)
This article analyzes the relationship between exports and output using econometric multivariate time series techniques (the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality analysis). Using an error-correction model estimate, the authors show the long-term relationship between Mexico s exports and...
| Autores: | , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2018 |
| País: | México |
| Institución: | Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México |
| Repositorio: | Memoria Institucional CISAN, Repositorio Institucional, UNAM |
| Idioma: | español |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ru.micisan.unam.mx:123456789/19826 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://ru.micisan.unam.mx/handle/123456789/19826 http://dx.doi.org/10.20999/nam.2015.a004 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | CIENCIAS SOCIALES Sociology Economics 5 causality cointegration trade growth exports imports NAFTA causalidad cointegración comercio crecimiento exportaciones importaciones TLCAN Sociología Economía |
| Sumario: | This article analyzes the relationship between exports and output using econometric multivariate time series techniques (the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality analysis). Using an error-correction model estimate, the authors show the long-term relationship between Mexico s exports and gdp as well as the causality between these variables. This makes it possible to elucidate the kind of trade the country carries out, one of the causes of its low growth over the last three decades. |
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