The effect of uncertainty on foreign direct investment: The case of Mexico

This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty on FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during the period 2007-2015. Using a panel of manufacturing subsectors, we estimate a model by System GMM that includes domestic and external factors, as well as idiosyncratic and aggregate uncertain...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: López Noria, Gabriela, Zamudio Fernández, Juan José
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2018
País:México
Institución:EL COLEGIO DE MÉXICO
Repositorio:Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:oai.estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx:article/355
Acceso en línea:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/355
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:uncertainty
foreign direct investment
expectations
manufacturing
D80
F21
D84
L60
incertidumbre
inversión extranjera directa
expectativas
manufactura
Descripción
Sumario:This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty on FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during the period 2007-2015. Using a panel of manufacturing subsectors, we estimate a model by System GMM that includes domestic and external factors, as well as idiosyncratic and aggregate uncertainty measures as explicative variables. We also performsome simulations to assess the size of the uncertainty effect on FDI flows. The main results show that uncertainty discourages FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during this period. We also find that idiosyncratic uncertainty measures are more important in explaining FDI flows than aggregate uncertainty measures.