Unit roots and multiple structural breaks in real output: How long does an economy remain stationary?

Utilizing resampling methods, we present evidence on the rejection probabilities for difference-stationary and trend-stationary models for Mexico's real and real per capita annual gross domestic product. The trend stationary alternative allows for stationary fluctuations around a long-run trend...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Noriega, Antonio E., Ramírez Zamora, Araceli
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versão publicada
Data de publicação:1999
País:México
Recursos:EL COLEGIO DE MÉXICO
Repositório:Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México
Idioma:inglês
OAI Identifier:oai:oai.estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx:article/226
Acesso em linha:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/226
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:difference-stationary
trend-stationary
product
modelos estacionarios
modelos en tendencia
producción
Descrição
Resumo:Utilizing resampling methods, we present evidence on the rejection probabilities for difference-stationary and trend-stationary models for Mexico's real and real per capita annual gross domestic product. The trend stationary alternative allows for stationary fluctuations around a long-run trend function with endogenously determined multiple structural breaks, via global and sequential search methods. The number of breaks is determined using a unit-root rejection stopping rule and a parameter-constancy stopping rule.