Quasi purchasing power parity: Structural change in the Mexican peso/US dollar real exchange rate

This paper analyzes whether the real exchange-rate of the Mexican peso/US dollar revert to a long-run equilibrium value, and whether this value is unique. We use a method for testing stationarity, that allows for an unknown number of structural breaks in the level of the series. Using a long span of...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Noriega, Antonio E., Medina, Lorena
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2003
País:México
Institución:EL COLEGIO DE MÉXICO
Repositorio:Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:oai.estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx:article/183
Acceso en línea:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/183
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:exchange-rate
mexican peso
american dollar
purchasing power
C12
C13
C15
C22
F31
tipo de cambio
peso
dólar
poder adquisitivo
Descripción
Sumario:This paper analyzes whether the real exchange-rate of the Mexican peso/US dollar revert to a long-run equilibrium value, and whether this value is unique. We use a method for testing stationarity, that allows for an unknown number of structural breaks in the level of the series. Using a long span of annual data covering the period 1925-1994, our results provide evidence favoring long-run Quasi-Purchasing Power Parity. In particular, we find that the real peso/dollar exchange rate has fluctuated stationarily around a 70 year long-run level, perturbed by a series of events, both domestic and external, in or around 1981.