Best Practices in Dropout Prediction: Experience-Based Recommendations for Institutional Implementation

This chapter focuses on the key practical aspects to be considered when facing the task of developing predictive models for student learning outcomes. It is based on the authors’ experience building and delivering dropout prediction models within higher education contexts. The chapter presents the i...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Alcolea, Juan J., Blanco, Óscar J., Ortigosa Juárez, Álvaro Manuel, Carro Salas, Rosa María
Formato: capítulo de livro
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Recursos:Universidad Autónoma de Madrid
Repositorio:Biblos-e Archivo. Repositorio Institucional de la UAM
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.uam.es:10486/710884
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/10486/710884
https://dx.doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-5074-8.ch015
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Return on Investment (ROI)
Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve
Sensitivity
Specificity
Accuracy
Holdout Method
Over/Under Sampling Techniques
K-Fold Cross-Validation
Informática
Descrição
Resumo:This chapter focuses on the key practical aspects to be considered when facing the task of developing predictive models for student learning outcomes. It is based on the authors’ experience building and delivering dropout prediction models within higher education contexts. The chapter presents the information used to generate the predictive models, how this information is treated, how the models are fed, which types of algorithms have been used, and why and how the obtained results have been evaluated. It recommends best practices for building, training, and evaluating predictive models. It is hoped that readers will find these recommendations useful for the design, development, deployment, and use of early warning systems.