The US Dollar-Euro exchange rate and US-EMU bond yield differentials: A Causality Analysis

This paper test for causality between the US Dollar-Euro exchange rate and US-EMU bond yield differentials. To that end, we apply Hsiao (1981)’s sequential procedure to daily data covering the 1999-2011 period. Our results suggest the existence of statistically significant Granger causality running...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Sosvilla Rivero, Simón Javier, Ramos Herrera, María del Carmen
Format: report
Publication Date:2011
Country:España
Institution:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repository:Docta Complutense
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/49015
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/49015
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Causality
Exchange rate
Long-term interest rates
Rolling regression
Causalidad
tipo de cambio
Tipos de interés a largo plazo
Procedimiento de regresión móvil con ventana fija
Econometría (Economía)
Mercados bursátiles y financieros
Economía internacional
5302 Econometría
5310 Economía Internacional
Description
Summary:This paper test for causality between the US Dollar-Euro exchange rate and US-EMU bond yield differentials. To that end, we apply Hsiao (1981)’s sequential procedure to daily data covering the 1999-2011 period. Our results suggest the existence of statistically significant Granger causality running one-way from bond yield differentials to the exchange rate, but not the other way around.