A diffusion-based spatio-temporal extension of Gaussian Matérn fields

Gaussian random fields with Matérn covariance functions are popular models in spatial statistics and machine learning. In this work, we develop a spatio-temporal extension of the Gaussian Matérn fields formulated as solutions to a stochastic partial differential equation. The spatially stationary su...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Lindgren, Finn|||0000-0002-5833-2011, Bakka, Haakon|||0000-0001-8272-865X, Bolin, David|||0000-0003-2361-5465, Krainski, Elias|||0000-0002-7063-2615, Rue, Håvard|||0000-0002-0222-1881
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:292329
Acceso en línea:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/292329
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.57645/20.8080.02.13
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Stochastic partial differential equations
Diffusion
Gaussian fields
Non-separable space-time models
INLA
Finite element methods
Descripción
Sumario:Gaussian random fields with Matérn covariance functions are popular models in spatial statistics and machine learning. In this work, we develop a spatio-temporal extension of the Gaussian Matérn fields formulated as solutions to a stochastic partial differential equation. The spatially stationary subset of the models have marginal spatial Matérn covariances, and the model also extends to Whittle-Matérn fields on curved manifolds, and to more general non-stationary fields. In addition to the parameters of the spatial dependence (variance, smoothness, and practical correlation range) it additionally has parameters controlling the practical correlation range in time, the smoothness in time, and the type of non-separability of the spatio-temporal covariance. Through the separability parameter, the model also allows for separable covariance functions. We provide a sparse representation based on a finite element approximation, that is well suited for statistical inference and which is implemented in the R-INLA software. The flexibility of the model is illustrated in an application to spatio-temporal modeling of global temperature data.