Environments conductive to tropical transitions in the North Atlantic: Anthropogenic climate change influence study

Tropical cyclones can have different precursors, but most of them affecting Europe have a tropical transition origin and develop in autumn. This research focuses on analyzing changes on favorable environments for tropical transition development in the North Atlantic (NATL) basin for this season unde...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Montoro Mendoza, Ana, Calvo Sancho, Carlos, González Alemán, Juan Jesús, Díaz Fernández, Javier, Bolgiani, Pedro Mariano, Sastre Marugán, Mariano, Moreno-Chamarro, Eduardo, Martín, María Luisa
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2024
País:España
Institución:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/114978
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/114978
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:550.3
Tropical transition
Environment tropicalization
Anthropogenic climate change
North Atlantic
Western Europe
Física atmosférica
Meteorología (Física)
2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera
2509 Meteorología
2502 Climatología
Descripción
Sumario:Tropical cyclones can have different precursors, but most of them affecting Europe have a tropical transition origin and develop in autumn. This research focuses on analyzing changes on favorable environments for tropical transition development in the North Atlantic (NATL) basin for this season under the Anthropogenic Climate Change (ACC) effect. Comparisons between the climatology of some relevant variables related to tropical cyclogenesis have been computed for different periods, considering the ACC effect. For this purpose, the SSP5–8.5 scenario from an adapted version of the EC-Earth3 climatic model has been used. The combination of the obtained results is indicative of a NATL environment tropicalization in response to ACC, weightier for the end of the XXI century. Therefore, the NATL environment will be more prone to tropical transition development in the future, which is of particular concern since tropical cyclones are notorious for their lethality and economic impact worldwide.

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