Environments conductive to tropical transitions in the North Atlantic: Anthropogenic climate change influence study
Tropical cyclones can have different precursors, but most of them affecting Europe have a tropical transition origin and develop in autumn. This research focuses on analyzing changes on favorable environments for tropical transition development in the North Atlantic (NATL) basin for this season unde...
| Autores: | , , , , , , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2024 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) |
| Repositorio: | UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/413830 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://hdl.handle.net/2117/413830 https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107609 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Climate science Climatology--Computer programs. Tropical cyclone Tropical transition Environment tropicalization Anthropogenic climate change North Atlantic Oscillation Surface Western Europe Simulació per ordinador Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Enginyeria agroalimentària::Ciències de la terra i de la vida::Climatologia i meteorologia |
| Sumario: | Tropical cyclones can have different precursors, but most of them affecting Europe have a tropical transition origin and develop in autumn. This research focuses on analyzing changes on favorable environments for tropical transition development in the North Atlantic (NATL) basin for this season under the Anthropogenic Climate Change (ACC) effect. Comparisons between the climatology of some relevant variables related to tropical cyclogenesis have been computed for different periods, considering the ACC effect. For this purpose, the SSP5–8.5 scenario from an adapted version of the EC-Earth3 climatic model has been used. The combination of the obtained results is indicative of a NATL environment tropicalization in response to ACC, weightier for the end of the XXI century. Therefore, the NATL environment will be more prone to tropical transition development in the future, which is of particular concern since tropical cyclones are notorious for their lethality and economic impact worldwide. |
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