Estimation of Distribution Dependence Structures Using time-varying Copulas in R

Dynamic copulas provide a flexible framework for modelling time-varying dependencies between financial assets, overcoming the limitations of traditional correlation measures and DCC models. Their ability to capture non-linear relationships, tail dependence, and asymmetry makes them particularly usef...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Pérez-Cambriles, Antonio, Benito Muela, Sonia, López Martín, Carmen
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2026
País:España
Institución:Universidad de Cantabria (UC)
Repositorio:e-spacio (DSpace). Repositorio Institucional de la UNED
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:e-spacio.uned.es:20.500.14468/31994
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14468/31994
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:53 Ciencias Económicas
Dependence structure
Dynamic correlation
Copula models
Timevarying copula
R code
Descripción
Sumario:Dynamic copulas provide a flexible framework for modelling time-varying dependencies between financial assets, overcoming the limitations of traditional correlation measures and DCC models. Their ability to capture non-linear relationships, tail dependence, and asymmetry makes them particularly useful for risk management and portfolio optimization. The main contributions of this paper are: first, by extending dynamic specifications to the Student’s t, Clayton, and Frank copulas, and second, by providing their implementation in the R environment through the “dynCopula” package, freely available for the research community. Our empirical application considers three major international stock markets (Euro Stoxx 50, S&P 500, Nikkei) and Bitcoin. The results reveal that the dependence between assets evolves over time and intensifies during periods of financial stress. We also show that diversification benefits increase as the degree of dependence decreases, provided that assets have similar risk levels. Finally, dynamic copulas yield more accurate estimates of market risk than static models. These results underscore the benefits of dynamic copulas for practitioners: they enable more reliable risk quantification, enhance hedging strategies, and support the construction of optimal or minimum-variance portfolios under changing market conditions, making them a valuable tool for both investment management and financial risk analysis.