Forecasting and assessing consequences of aviation safety occurrences

Aviation safety is essential for the healthy growth and sustainability of the global economy. The implementation of Safety Management Systems to support safe service delivery has become one of the most important goals within the airline industry over the last years. However, in most cases the involv...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Rios Insua, David, Alfaro, Cesar, Gomez, Javier, Hernandez-Coronado, Pablo, Bernal, Francisco
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:España
Institución:Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
Repositorio:BURJC-Digital. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
OAI Identifier:oai:burjcdigital.urjc.es:10115/42409
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/10115/42409
Access Level:acceso embargado
Palabra clave:Aviation safety
Risk management
Bayesian forecasting
Multiattribute utility
Decision analysis
Descripción
Sumario:Aviation safety is essential for the healthy growth and sustainability of the global economy. The implementation of Safety Management Systems to support safe service delivery has become one of the most important goals within the airline industry over the last years. However, in most cases the involved organisations use unsophisticated methods based on risk matrices for the development of such systems. In this paper, we present models to forecast and assess the consequences of aviation safety occurrences as part of a framework for aviation safety risk management at state level.