Predicting human-wildlife interaction in urban environments through agent-based models
Synurbic species adapt to global urbanization by increasingly inhabiting urban environments, where social and ecological factors, such as anthropogenic food resources and habitat alterations, promote close human-wildlife interactions. Ineffective management of these interactions can result in confli...
| Autores: | , , , , , , , |
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| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2023 |
| País: | España |
| Institución: | Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
| Repositorio: | Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ddd.uab.cat:288600 |
| Acceso en línea: | https://ddd.uab.cat/record/288600 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2023.104878 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palabra clave: | Agent-based model Human-wildlife interaction Spatial-explicit simulation model Synurbization Urban ecosystem Urban wild boar |
| Sumario: | Synurbic species adapt to global urbanization by increasingly inhabiting urban environments, where social and ecological factors, such as anthropogenic food resources and habitat alterations, promote close human-wildlife interactions. Ineffective management of these interactions can result in conflicts, altered animal population dynamics, and increased public and private expenditures. This study presents the Barcelona wild boar (BCNWB)-prototype model, a spatially explicit, incremental agent-based simulation that captures interactions between citizens and wild boar (Sus scrofa) agents in fine-scale GIS-based scenarios in Barcelona. Developed using GAMA software, the model's results were analyzed with QGIS and R software. The model aims to simulate the dynamics of the social-ecological system underlying the urban ecosystem use by synurbic wild boars and their interactions with humans in the (peri)urban area of Barcelona, Spain. The BCNWB-prototype model demonstrated high accuracy in predicting the magnitude and location of wild boar movements (multiple-resolution-goodness-of-fit = 0.73) compared to reported wild boar presences in Barcelona. The model also forecasted 115 attack events and 1,442 direct feeding events during a one-year simulation period, as compared to the actual 150 attacks and 1,858 feeding events reported annually. The model's strong performance highlights its potential as a predictive tool for identifying priority areas for human-wild boar interactions and conflicts. Additionally, the model could be employed to assess the cost-effectiveness of management strategies and evaluate the spread, transmission risks, and public health implications of pathogens carried by wild boars. |
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