Doing the sum right or the right sums? Techno-optimist numbers in food security scenarios

In a paper recently published on the journal Food Ethics (Saltelli and Lo Piano, 2017), we take issue with a scenario for the future of agriculture recently published. The scenario we target, which is not uncommon in present discourse on food security, assumes that improving in agricultural techniqu...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Saltelli, Andrea, Lo Piano, Samuele
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2018
País:España
Institución:Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (UOC)
Repositorio:O2, repositorio institucional de la UOC
OAI Identifier:oai:openaccess.uoc.edu:10609/92486
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10609/92486
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:food security
sensitivity auditing
quantitative story telling
food distribution
ecosystem alteration
political asymmetries
asimetrías políticas
seguridad alimentaria
control de sensibilidad
story telling cuantitativo
distribución alimentaria
alteración del ecosistema
asimetries polítiques
seguretat alimentària
control de sensibilitat
story telling quantitatiu
distribució alimentària
alteració de l'ecosistema
Food security
Seguretat alimentària
Seguridad alimentaria
Descripción
Sumario:In a paper recently published on the journal Food Ethics (Saltelli and Lo Piano, 2017), we take issue with a scenario for the future of agriculture recently published. The scenario we target, which is not uncommon in present discourse on food security, assumes that improving in agricultural techniques and adopting better dietary styles will lead to producing more food in less land, as to feed 10 billion people in 2050. While the proposed scenario and its quantitative estimates may be useful to initiate a debate on the important issue of food security, it also poses the risk of anchoring the discussion to a pre-defined narrative.