Marginal contribution of game statistics to probability of playing playoff at elite basketball leagues

The multilevel ordinal logistic mixed-effects method applied is proposed as a support tool to management in basketball teams helping to identify the game-related statistics that discriminate the final ranking in a regu-lar season classification. A sample of 10684 games that cover 10 seasons and reac...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Izquierdo, José María, Pedauga, Luis Enrique, Pardo, Ana, Redondo, Juan Carlos
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2021
País:España
Institución:Universidad Católica San Antonio de Murcia (UCAM)
Repositorio:RIUCAM. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad Católica San Antonio de Murcia
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.ucam.edu:10952/5705
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10952/5705
http://dx.doi.org/10.12800/ccd.v16i49.1586
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Game-related statistics
Análisis de rendimiento
Baloncesto
Performance analysis
Basketball
Estadísticas de juego
Análisis deportivo
Sport analytics
Descripción
Sumario:The multilevel ordinal logistic mixed-effects method applied is proposed as a support tool to management in basketball teams helping to identify the game-related statistics that discriminate the final ranking in a regu-lar season classification. A sample of 10684 games that cover 10 seasons and reach sample of 752 cases were evaluated from the two main Spanish basketball lea-gues (male and female). The multilevel analysis applied identifies the marginal effects of the main variables regularly evaluated by coaches and managers in bas-ketball leagues, which may help them improve the per-formance of their teams. The results revealed that in Re-legation zone the marginal contribution of field shots, defensive rebound, steals and turnovers percentage are 8.3 percentage points (pp), 7 pp, 9.6 pp and 8.6 pp res-pectively, higher than in Play-off zone (p<0.01). The mo-del applied in this study make a significant contribution to the literature by identifying a methodology that can be straightforwardly extended for an assessment at the ranking of teams helping coaches in making important decisions such as hierarchically discriminating which fac-tors are the most relevant in their league, both to avoid the relegation zone and to access the promotion zone