Will COVID-19 confirmed cases in the USA reach 3 million? A forecasting approach by using SutteARIMA Method

Objectives: Forecasting the number of COVID-19 cases in the USA can provide an overview and projection of the development of COVID-19 cases in the US so that policy makers can determine the steps that must be taken. This study aimed to determine whether COVID-19 confirmed cases in the USA would reac...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Ahmar, Ansari Saleh, Boj del Val, Eva
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versão publicada
Data de publicação:2020
País:España
Recursos:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositório:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/173170
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/173170
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:COVID-19
Teoria de la predicció
Estadística
Prediction theory
Statistics
Descrição
Resumo:Objectives: Forecasting the number of COVID-19 cases in the USA can provide an overview and projection of the development of COVID-19 cases in the US so that policy makers can determine the steps that must be taken. This study aimed to determine whether COVID-19 confirmed cases in the USA would reach 3 million cases with the SutteARIMA method forecasting approach. Methods: Data from this study were obtained from the Worldometer data on 15 February 2020 to 2 July 2020. Data from 15 February 2020 to 25 June 2020 were used to performance data fitting (26 June 2020-2 July 2020). Data fitting is used to examine the extent of the accuracy of the SutteARIMA method in predicting data. To examine the level of the data accuracy, the MAPE method was used in this study. (...)