SutteARIMA: Short-term forecasting method, a case: Covid-19 and stock market in Spain

This study aimed to predict the short-term of confirmed cases of covid-19 and IBEX in Spain by using SutteARIMA method. Confirmed data of Covid-19 in Spanish was obtained from Worldometer and Spain Stock Market data (IBEX 35) was data obtained from Yahoo Finance. Data started from 12 February 2020-0...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Ahmar, Ansari Saleh, Boj del Val, Eva
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión aceptada para publicación
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Recursos:Universidad de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de la UB
OAI Identifier:oai:diposit.ub.edu:2445/176536
Acesso em linha:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/176536
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:COVID-19
Teoria de la predicció
Estadística
Borsa de valors
IBEX 35 (Índex borsari)
Prediction theory
Statistics
Stock-exchange
IBEX 35 (Stock price index)
Descrição
Resumo:This study aimed to predict the short-term of confirmed cases of covid-19 and IBEX in Spain by using SutteARIMA method. Confirmed data of Covid-19 in Spanish was obtained from Worldometer and Spain Stock Market data (IBEX 35) was data obtained from Yahoo Finance. Data started from 12 February 2020-09 April 2020 (the date on Covid-19 was detected in Spain). The data from 12 February 2020-02 April 2020 using to fitting with data from 03 April 2020 - 09 April 2020 (...)