Risk Calculators in Bipolar Disorder: A Systematic Review

Introduction: Early recognition of bipolar disorder improves the prognosis and decreases the burden of the disease. However, there is a significant delay in diagnosis. Multiple risk factors for bipolar disorder have been identified and a population at high-risk for the disorder has been more precise...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Silva Ribeiro, Joana, Pereira, Daniela, Salagre Muñoz, Estela, Coroa, Manuel, Santos Oliveira, Pedro, Santos, Vítor, Madeira, Nuno, Grande i Fullana, Iria, Vieta i Pascual, Eduard, 1963-
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Institución:Varias* (Consorci de Biblioteques Universitáries de Catalunya, Centre de Serveis Científics i Acadèmics de Catalunya)
Repositorio:Recercat. Dipósit de la Recerca de Catalunya
OAI Identifier:oai:recercat.cat:2445/176668
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2445/176668
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Trastorn bipolar
Avaluació del risc per la salut
Ressenyes sistemàtiques (Investigació mèdica)
Manic-depressive illness
Health risk assessment
Systematic reviews (Medical research)
Descripción
Sumario:Introduction: Early recognition of bipolar disorder improves the prognosis and decreases the burden of the disease. However, there is a significant delay in diagnosis. Multiple risk factors for bipolar disorder have been identified and a population at high-risk for the disorder has been more precisely defined. These advances have allowed the development of risk calculators to predict individual risk of conversion to bipolar disorder. This review aims to identify the risk calculators for bipolar disorder and assess their clinical applicability. Methods: A systematic review of original studies on the development of risk calculators in bipolar disorder was performed. The studies' quality was evaluated with the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Form for Cohort Studies and according to recommendations of the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis Initiative. Results: Three studies met the inclusion criteria; one developed a risk calculator of conversion from major depressive episode to bipolar disorder; one of conversion to new-onset bipolar spectrum disorders in offspring of parents with bipolar disorder; and the last one of conversion in youths with bipolar disorder not-otherwise-specified. Conclusions: The calculators reviewed in this article present good discrimination power for bipolar disorder, although future replication and validation of the models is needed.