Estimating unemployment in very small areas

In the last few years, European countries have shown a deep interest in applying small area techniques to produce reliable estimates at county level. However, the specificity of every European country and the heterogeneity of the available auxiliary information, make the use of a common methodology...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Ugarte, Maria Dolores, Goicoa, T., Militino, Ana F., Sagaseta-López, M.
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2009
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repositorio:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2099/8938
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/2099/8938
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Sampling (Statistics)
Mathematical statistics
Regression analysis
Finite population
Prediction theory
Labour Force Survey
Mostreig (Estadística)
Estadística matemàtica
Classificació AMS::62 Statistics::62D05 Sampling theory, sample surveys
Classificació AMS::62 Statistics::62J Linear inference, regression
Classificació AMS::62 Statistics::62F Parametric inference
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Matemàtiques i estadística::Estadística matemàtica
Descripción
Sumario:In the last few years, European countries have shown a deep interest in applying small area techniques to produce reliable estimates at county level. However, the specificity of every European country and the heterogeneity of the available auxiliary information, make the use of a common methodology a very difficult task. In this study, the performance of several design-based, model-assisted, and model-based estimators using different auxiliary information for estimating unemployment at small area level is analyzed. The results are illustrated with data from Navarre, an autonomous region located at the north of Spain and divided into seven small areas. After discussing pros and cons of the different alternatives, a composite estimator is chosen, because of its good trade-off between bias and variance. Several methods for estimating the prediction error of the proposed estimator are also provided.