Modelling stock returns with AR-GARCH processes

Financial returns are often modelled as autoregressive time series with random disturbances having conditional heteroscedastic variances, especially with GARCH type processes. GARCH processes have been intensely studying in financial and econometric literature as risk models of many financial time s...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Ferenstein, Elzbieta, Gasowski, Miroslaw
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2004
País:España
Institución:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repositorio:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:93938
Acceso en línea:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/93938
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Autoregressive process
GARCH and EGARCH models
Conditional heteroscedastic variance
Financial log returns
Descripción
Sumario:Financial returns are often modelled as autoregressive time series with random disturbances having conditional heteroscedastic variances, especially with GARCH type processes. GARCH processes have been intensely studying in financial and econometric literature as risk models of many financial time series. Analyzing two data sets of stock prices we try to fit AR(1) processes with GARCH or EGARCH errors to the log returns. Moreover, hyperbolic or generalized error distributions occur to be good models of white noise distributions.