On the impacts of climate change on the functional deterioration of heritage buildings in South Chile

Currently, the scientific community has almost reached a consensus on the negative impacts of climate change. The causes of global warming are negative for sure, but are the impacts of these new climatic conditions negative and relevant? The answer is again probably yes, but not necessarily so. This...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Prieto Ibáñez, Andrés José, Verichev, Konstantin Sergeevich, Silva, Ana, Brito, Jorge Manuel Caliço Lopes de
Formato: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2020
País:España
Recursos:Consejo General de la Arquitectura Técnica de España (CGATE)
Repositorio:RIARTE
OAI Identifier:oai:www.riarte.es:20.500.12251/1962
Acesso em linha:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12251/1962
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2020.107138
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:Chile
Cambio climático
Lógica difusa
Condiciones climáticas
Mantenimiento de edificios
Edificación residencial
Ventilación (Construcción)
Edificios históricos
Mantenimiento preventivo
2502.02 Climatología Aplicada
2502.07 Climatología Regional
2213.04 Altas Temperaturas
3310.04 Ingeniería de Mantenimiento
3305.26 Edificios Públicos
Descrição
Resumo:Currently, the scientific community has almost reached a consensus on the negative impacts of climate change. The causes of global warming are negative for sure, but are the impacts of these new climatic conditions negative and relevant? The answer is again probably yes, but not necessarily so. This study intends to evaluate the impacts of climate change on the functional deterioration of heritage buildings located in South Chile. For this purpose, an advanced artificial intelligence methodology, based on fuzzy logic, is used, and 79 heritage buildings, in five locations in South Chile, are analysed. The results obtained revealed that the predictions of climate change for this region, with an expected increase in temperature, associated with a reduction of the average annual precipitation, for the period 2045–2069, could actually benefit the functional performance of the heritage buildings analysed. Some lessons could be learned from the results, and the proposed model could be used for the prioritisation of maintenance activities, in heritage buildings, for the different locations analysed, considering the expected effect of climate changes, which in many other cases can be detrimental. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd