The fit of dynamic equilibrium models of exchange rate

The two-country monetary model has become a fundamental tool for explaining the behavior of the exchange rate. However, the popularity of this approach is not justified by its empirical support. One of the reasons for the empirical “failure” of exchange rate models could be the econometric approach...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Jiménez Martín, Juan Ángel, Flores de Frutos, Rafael
Tipo de recurso: informe técnico
Fecha de publicación:2004
País:España
Institución:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repositorio:Docta Complutense
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/56613
Acceso en línea:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/56613
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:F31
F37
G15
Exchange rate
Equilibrium model
Seasonality
Econometría (Economía)
5302 Econometría
Descripción
Sumario:The two-country monetary model has become a fundamental tool for explaining the behavior of the exchange rate. However, the popularity of this approach is not justified by its empirical support. One of the reasons for the empirical “failure” of exchange rate models could be the econometric approach applied. In this paper, an alternative procedure for evaluating the fit of dynamic equilibrium models of exchange rate is suggested. This approach is applied to three theoretical models: Lucas (1982), Svensson (1985), and Grilli and Roubini (1992).