Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever

The role of vertical transmission in vectors has rarely been addressed in the study of dengue dynamics and control, in part because it was not considered a critical population-level factor. In this paper, we apply the pioneering model- ing ideas of Ross and MacDonald, motivated by the context of the...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Murillo, David, Holechek, Susan A., Murillo, Anarina L., Sánchez Peña, Fabio Ariel, Castillo Chávez, Carlos
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Fecha de publicación:2014
País:Costa Rica
Institución:Universidad de Costa Rica
Repositorio:Kérwá
OAI Identifier:oai:kerwa.ucr.ac.cr:10669/75903
Acceso en línea:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/23737867.2014.11414484
https://hdl.handle.net/10669/75903
Access Level:acceso embargado
Palabra clave:Modelo matemático
Modelos epidémicos
Matemática aplicada
Dengue
Transmisión vertical
Vector-host model
Epidemiology
Vertical transmission
Peru
616.921 Fiebre de dengue
Descripción
Sumario:The role of vertical transmission in vectors has rarely been addressed in the study of dengue dynamics and control, in part because it was not considered a critical population-level factor. In this paper, we apply the pioneering model- ing ideas of Ross and MacDonald, motivated by the context of the 2000–2001 dengue outbreak in Peru, to assess the dynamics of multi-strain competition. An invading strain of dengue virus (DENV-2) from Asia rapidly circulated into Peru eventually displacing DENV-2 American. A host-dengue model that con- siders the competing dynamics of these two DENV-2 genotypes, the resident or the American type and the invasive more virulent Asian strain, is introduced and analyzed. The model incorporates vertical transmission by DENV-2 Asian a potentially advantageous trait. Conditions for competitive exclusion of dengue strains are established. The model is used to show that lower transmission rates of DENV-2 Asian are sufficient for displacing DENV-2 American in the presence of vertical transmission.