Elicitación de la distribución multinomial a partir de varios expertos

The objective of this work is to implement an elicitation process to estimate the vector of parameters π to multinomial distribution through of Delphi method. Quantification of opinions and beliefs from multiple experts are used to obtain a single distribution that represents the knowledge of all ex...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Montoya Espinosa, Yurledy, Correa Morales, Juan Carlos
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:Colombia
Institución:Universidad Santo Tomás
Repositorio:Repositorio Institucional USTA
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:repository.usta.edu.co:11634/10975
Acceso en línea:https://revistas.usantotomas.edu.co/index.php/estadistica/article/view/2884
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:a priori distribution; bayesian statistics; binomial distribution; multinomial distribution; subjective probability.
Distribución a priori; distribución binomial; distribución multinomial; estadística bayesiana; probabilidad subjetiva.
Descripción
Sumario:The objective of this work is to implement an elicitation process to estimate the vector of parameters π to multinomial distribution through of Delphi method. Quantification of opinions and beliefs from multiple experts are used to obtain a single distribution that represents the knowledge of all experts that is a different result to get the sum of individual contributions.