Elicitación de la distribución multinomial a partir de varios expertos

The objective of this work is to implement an elicitation process to estimate the vector of parameters π to multinomial distribution through of Delphi method. Quantification of opinions and beliefs from multiple experts are used to obtain a single distribution that represents the knowledge of all ex...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Montoya Espinosa, Yurledy, Correa Morales, Juan Carlos
Format: article
Status:Published version
Publication Date:2017
Country:Colombia
Institution:Universidad Santo Tomás
Repository:Repositorio Institucional USTA
Language:Spanish
OAI Identifier:oai:repository.usta.edu.co:11634/10975
Online Access:https://revistas.usantotomas.edu.co/index.php/estadistica/article/view/2884
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:a priori distribution; bayesian statistics; binomial distribution; multinomial distribution; subjective probability.
Distribución a priori; distribución binomial; distribución multinomial; estadística bayesiana; probabilidad subjetiva.
Description
Summary:The objective of this work is to implement an elicitation process to estimate the vector of parameters π to multinomial distribution through of Delphi method. Quantification of opinions and beliefs from multiple experts are used to obtain a single distribution that represents the knowledge of all experts that is a different result to get the sum of individual contributions.