Aggregate money demand functions in five industrial countries: Are they cointegrated?

In this paper we take issue with the claim made in some recent empirical studies that real money balances, real income and interest rates are cointegrated, or, alternatively, that velocity is a stationary variable, which is in contrast with the well known stylised facts about the behaviour of moneta...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Caporale, Guglielmo Maria, Hall, Stephen, Urga, Giovanni, Williams, Geoffrey
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2001
País:Brasil
Institución:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
Repositorio:Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo)
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:revistas.usp.br:article/117745
Acceso en línea:https://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/117745
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:money demand
velocity
cointegration
demanda por moeda
velocidade
cointegração
Descripción
Sumario:In this paper we take issue with the claim made in some recent empirical studies that real money balances, real income and interest rates are cointegrated, or, alternatively, that velocity is a stationary variable, which is in contrast with the well known stylised facts about the behaviour of monetary aggregates in theUKand other industrial countries. We show that in fact this surprising result can be explained away in terms of statistical bias. It is only because in these studies inference is based on a mis-specified VAR that the null of no cointegration can be rejected - the standard result that money demand functions exhibit instability and that velocity is a non-stationary variable is confirmed when the analysis is carried out within a correctly specified system.