Inflation persistence and new Keynesian Phillips curves for Brazil
In this paper is shown that sustainable inflation persistence has theoretical support not only due price indexation, but also because of micro-foundations based on assumptions of Simon’s bounded rationality and because of persistent mark-up shocks. the new keynesian phillips curve, estimated for bra...
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| Formato: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2010 |
| País: | Brasil |
| Recursos: | EDITORA 34 |
| Repositorio: | Revista de Economia Política |
| Idioma: | portugués |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ojs2.centrodeeconomiapolitica.org:article/444 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/444 |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palavra-chave: | persistência inflacionária racionalidade limitada poder do mercado expectativas curva de Phillips inflation persistence bounded rationality market power expectations Phillips curves |
| Resumo: | In this paper is shown that sustainable inflation persistence has theoretical support not only due price indexation, but also because of micro-foundations based on assumptions of Simon’s bounded rationality and because of persistent mark-up shocks. the new keynesian phillips curve, estimated for brazil for the period 2000/2008, and the partial coefficients of determination for moving sub-periods of 36 months identifies inflation persistence as the main determinant of inflation, with the capacity gap presenting larger importance only in the end of the sample period. Inflation persistence requires harder monetary policy when neither accommodation is acceptable nor complementary policies in order to reduce it, such as the minimization of indexation mechanisms and control of the market power, are adopted. JEL Classification: E31; D82; D84; E12. |
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