Inflation persistence and new Keynesian Phillips curves for Brazil

In this paper is shown that sustainable inflation persistence has theoretical support not only due price indexation, but also because of micro-foundations based on assumptions of Simon’s bounded rationality and because of persistent mark-up shocks. the new keynesian phillips curve, estimated for bra...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Fonseca Neto, Fernando de Aquino
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2010
País:Brasil
Institución:EDITORA 34
Repositorio:Revista de Economia Política
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs2.centrodeeconomiapolitica.org:article/444
Acceso en línea:https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/444
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:persistência inflacionária
racionalidade limitada
poder do mercado
expectativas
curva de Phillips
inflation persistence
bounded rationality
market power
expectations
Phillips curves
Descripción
Sumario:In this paper is shown that sustainable inflation persistence has theoretical support not only due price indexation, but also because of micro-foundations based on assumptions of Simon’s bounded rationality and because of persistent mark-up shocks. the new keynesian phillips curve, estimated for brazil for the period 2000/2008, and the partial coefficients of determination for moving sub-periods of 36 months identifies inflation persistence as the main determinant of inflation, with the capacity gap presenting larger importance only in the end of the sample period. Inflation persistence requires harder monetary policy when neither accommodation is acceptable nor complementary policies in order to reduce it, such as the minimization of indexation mechanisms and control of the market power, are adopted. JEL Classification: E31; D82; D84; E12.