Repasse cambial na economia brasileira: estimação a partir do modelo VCEE

Changes in the nominal exchange rate lead to cost shocks that affect price indexes differently. The goal of this work is to estimate the degree of exchange rate pass-through for import, wholesale and consumer prices in Brazil between 2003 and 2019. We measure the degree of exchange rate pass-through...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Kannebley Junior, Sérgio, Godoi, Lucas Gonçalves, de Prince, Diogo, Pt, Pt
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2022
País:Brasil
Institución:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
Repositorio:Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo)
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:revistas.usp.br:article/163707
Acceso en línea:https://www.revistas.usp.br/ee/article/view/163707
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Repasse cambial
Vetor de correção de erros estrutural
Índices de preços
Exchange rate pass-through
Structural vector error correction model
Price indexes
Descripción
Sumario:Changes in the nominal exchange rate lead to cost shocks that affect price indexes differently. The goal of this work is to estimate the degree of exchange rate pass-through for import, wholesale and consumer prices in Brazil between 2003 and 2019. We measure the degree of exchange rate pass-through with Structural Error Correction Vector Model using statistical properties and constraints based on economic theory, incorporating long-term information into the estimation. The results indicate that the degree of exchange rate pass-through to import, wholesale and consumer prices varies respectively between 76% and 83%, between 15% and 22%, and between 9% and 22% in the long run.