Spatiotemporal Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Frequency in the Northeast Region of Brazil

Climate extreme events are becoming increasingly frequent worldwide, causing floods, drought, forest fires, landslides and heat or cold waves. Several studies have been developed on the assessment of trends in the occurrence of extreme events. However, most of these studies used traditional models,...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores: Morales, Fidel Ernesto Castro, Rodrigues, Daniele Torres, Marques, Thiago Valentim, Amorim, Ana Cleide Bezerra, Oliveira, Priscilla Teles de [UNESP], Silva, Claudio Moises Santos e, Gonçalves, Weber Andrade, Lucio, Paulo Sergio
Tipo de documento: artigo
Estado:Versão publicada
Data de publicação:2023
País:Brasil
Recursos:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
Repositório:Repositório Institucional da UNESP
Idioma:inglês
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/247107
Acesso em linha:http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos14030531
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/247107
Access Level:Acceso aberto
Palavra-chave:anisotropic processes
climate change
climatological modeling
environmental data
extreme rainfall frequency
nonhomogeneous Poisson processes
Descrição
Resumo:Climate extreme events are becoming increasingly frequent worldwide, causing floods, drought, forest fires, landslides and heat or cold waves. Several studies have been developed on the assessment of trends in the occurrence of extreme events. However, most of these studies used traditional models, such as Poisson or negative binomial models. Thus, the main objective of this study is to use a space–time data counting approach in the modeling of the number of days with extreme precipitation as an alternative to the commonly used statistical methods. The study area is the Northeast Brazil region, and the analysis was carried out for the period between 1 January 1980 and 31 December 2010, by assessing the frequency of extreme precipitation represented by the R10 mm, R20 mm and R* indices.