Análises da dinâmica orçamentária dos municípios brasileiros: uma aplicação da metodologia VAR com dados empilhados

The paper estimates a panel-VAR using data on total expenditures, tax receipts and overall grants received for 5.544 Brazilian municipalities observed from 2002 through 2010. A sequence of hypotheses was investigated by the means of the overidentification test statistic. Among our main findings, we...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Schettini, Bernardo P.
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2012
País:Brasil
Institución:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
Repositorio:Economia Aplicada
Idioma:portugués
OAI Identifier:oai:revistas.usp.br:article/46200
Acceso en línea:https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/46200
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Budget dynamics
VAR model
Panel data
Brazilian municipalities
Dinâmica orçamentária
Modelo VAR
Painel de dados
Municípios brasileiros
Descripción
Sumario:The paper estimates a panel-VAR using data on total expenditures, tax receipts and overall grants received for 5.544 Brazilian municipalities observed from 2002 through 2010. A sequence of hypotheses was investigated by the means of the overidentification test statistic. Among our main findings, we underscore there exists evidence of change in the fiscal behavior of the municipalities, but which in average support the tax and spend hypothesis, as well as the flypaper effect of grants over expenditures. We also find there is a lot more dynamics in expenditures compared to own revenues. Those results shed light on some important aspects of the municipal budget dynamics.