Financialization of the commodity future markets: a SVAR model approach

This is a study regarding the impact of the index investments in the Commodity Future Market. The models applied, focus on the Causal Analysis and the Impulse Response Function through an orthogonalisation of the Vector of Auto Regression (SVAR), this allow to extract lead/lag correlation between th...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor: Momoli, Tommaso
Tipo de recurso: tesis de maestría
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:Brasil
Institución:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
Repositorio:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/18105
Acceso en línea:http://hdl.handle.net/10438/18105
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Commodity Indexes
Futures
Granger Causality
Orthogonalised IRF
Índices de commodities
Futuros
Causalidade de Granger
IRF ortogonalizado
Economia
Mercado futuro de mercadorias
Finanças
Bolsa de mercadorias - Índices
Modelos econométricos
Descripción
Sumario:This is a study regarding the impact of the index investments in the Commodity Future Market. The models applied, focus on the Causal Analysis and the Impulse Response Function through an orthogonalisation of the Vector of Auto Regression (SVAR), this allow to extract lead/lag correlation between the Index and First nearby Return for different Futures Sectors and in addition response to shocks in different equation. The study is divided in three different period, to reflect before and after the Financialization and then after the introduction in the market of the new generation of commodity Indexes. The results show a different behaviors of the parameters throughout time with a particular emphasis for the most traded Commodities to lead the others.