Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck
This study has as its main objective to develop an analysis of decision making under uncertainty using the real options application in the evaluation of investments in mining projects. It is also proposed to study the behaviour of gold prices, for the specific case of Peru, using historic prices and...
| Autores: | , |
|---|---|
| Tipo de recurso: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2016 |
| País: | Perú |
| Institución: | Universidad ESAN |
| Repositorio: | ESAN-Institucional |
| Idioma: | español |
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| Acceso en línea: | https://revistas.esan.edu.pe/index.php/jefas/article/view/138 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12640/1895 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2016.07.001 |
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| Palabra clave: | Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Brownian movement Mean reversion Real options Gold Movimiento browniano Reversión a la media Opciones reales Oro https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04 |
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2020-07-01T04:20:17Z2020-07-01T04:20:17Z2016-12-01https://revistas.esan.edu.pe/index.php/jefas/article/view/138Tresierra Tanaka, A., & Carrasco Montero, C. M. (2016). Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 21(41), 56-62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2016.07.001https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12640/1895https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2016.07.001This study has as its main objective to develop an analysis of decision making under uncertainty using the real options application in the evaluation of investments in mining projects. It is also proposed to study the behaviour of gold prices, for the specific case of Peru, using historic prices and based on the commodity prices process. The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model has been used for this. The main result is that to evaluate projects using the real options approach allows to evaluate –in their real magnitude– the financial benefits associated with an investment project, as it takes into account the trinomial of profitability-risk-flexibility. The assessment method using real options makes it possible to structure strategic thinking.La presente investigación tiene como objetivo principal desarrollar un análisis de toma de decisiones bajo incertidumbre a través de la aplicación de opciones reales en la evaluación de inversiones en proyectos mineros. Asimismo se propone estudiar el comportamiento de los precios del oro para el caso específico de Perú utilizando precios históricos y en base a procesos de precios de commodities. Para ello se ha utilizado el modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck. El principal resultado es que evaluar proyectos mediante el enfoque de opciones reales permite valorizar —en su real magnitud— los beneficios económicos asociados a un proyecto de inversión debido a que se tiene en cuenta el trinomio rentabilidad-riesgo-flexibilidad. La metodología de valorización a través de opciones reales posibilita estructurar el pensamiento estratégicoapplication/pdfEspañolspaUniversidad ESAN. ESAN EdicionesPEurn:issn:2218-0648https://revistas.esan.edu.pe/index.php/jefas/article/view/138/108Attribution 4.0 Internationalinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Ornstein-UhlenbeckBrownian movementMean reversionReal optionsGoldOrnstein-UhlenbeckMovimiento brownianoReversión a la mediaOpciones realesOrohttps://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeckinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArtículoreponame:ESAN-Institucionalinstname:Universidad ESANinstacron:ESANTresierra Tanaka, ÁlvaroCarrasco Montero, Claudia MariliaJournal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science62415621Acceso abiertoTHUMBNAIL41.jpg41.jpgimage/jpeg45078https://repositorio.esan.edu.pe/bitstreams/e6d5a30a-06df-47b2-afc8-1fccf7507fe9/download77a7c423c1cf8f2caea64b2cf971004bMD51falseAnonymousREADJEFAS-41-2016-56-62.pdf.jpgJEFAS-41-2016-56-62.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg5713https://repositorio.esan.edu.pe/bitstreams/82a8b04e-6f4d-4f9a-b090-3aa055f5efa1/downloadf186872de0adae3ce7b45c6384699abfMD54falseAnonymousREADORIGINALJEFAS-41-2016-56-62.pdfTexto completoapplication/pdf492083https://repositorio.esan.edu.pe/bitstreams/58de346a-70cb-4d06-8130-dca931bf2917/download45437b32acdd674a7523e08a2a020599MD52trueAnonymousREADTEXTJEFAS-41-2016-56-62.pdf.txtJEFAS-41-2016-56-62.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain77459https://repositorio.esan.edu.pe/bitstreams/a7ac25e3-5d40-47c1-8a5c-d81cf2bf27ff/download2605d71cf052a6ab6bd899df1ccab88bMD53falseAnonymousREAD20.500.12640/1895oai:repositorio.esan.edu.pe:20.500.12640/18952025-07-09 09:30:24.985https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Attribution 4.0 Internationalopen.accesshttps://repositorio.esan.edu.peRepositorio Institucional ESANrepositorio@esan.edu.pe |
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Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck |
| title |
Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck |
| spellingShingle |
Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Tresierra Tanaka, Álvaro Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Brownian movement Mean reversion Real options Gold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Movimiento browniano Reversión a la media Opciones reales Oro https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04 |
| title_short |
Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck |
| title_full |
Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck |
| title_fullStr |
Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck |
| title_sort |
Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck |
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Tresierra Tanaka, Álvaro Carrasco Montero, Claudia Marilia |
| author |
Tresierra Tanaka, Álvaro |
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Tresierra Tanaka, Álvaro Carrasco Montero, Claudia Marilia |
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author |
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Carrasco Montero, Claudia Marilia |
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author |
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Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Brownian movement Mean reversion Real options Gold |
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Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Brownian movement Mean reversion Real options Gold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Movimiento browniano Reversión a la media Opciones reales Oro https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04 |
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Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Movimiento browniano Reversión a la media Opciones reales Oro |
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https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#5.02.04 |
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This study has as its main objective to develop an analysis of decision making under uncertainty using the real options application in the evaluation of investments in mining projects. It is also proposed to study the behaviour of gold prices, for the specific case of Peru, using historic prices and based on the commodity prices process. The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model has been used for this. The main result is that to evaluate projects using the real options approach allows to evaluate –in their real magnitude– the financial benefits associated with an investment project, as it takes into account the trinomial of profitability-risk-flexibility. The assessment method using real options makes it possible to structure strategic thinking. |
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2016 |
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2016-12-01 |
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https://revistas.esan.edu.pe/index.php/jefas/article/view/138 |
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Tresierra Tanaka, A., & Carrasco Montero, C. M. (2016). Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 21(41), 56-62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2016.07.001 |
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https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12640/1895 |
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2016.07.001 |
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https://revistas.esan.edu.pe/index.php/jefas/article/view/138 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12640/1895 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2016.07.001 |
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Tresierra Tanaka, A., & Carrasco Montero, C. M. (2016). Valorización de opciones reales: modelo Ornstein-Uhlenbeck. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 21(41), 56-62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jefas.2016.07.001 |
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