DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS APPLIED TO PREDICTION MODELS IN BANKRUPTCY

The companies increasingly interact with clients and providers. This situation requires adequate risk ma-nagement to prevent situations of financial distress. A company is technically insolvent when it has enough cash to make immediate payments. Therefore, one of the points to study is the financial...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Aldazábal Contreras, Janet Cecibel, Napán Vera, Alberto Fernando
Format: article
Status:Published version
Publication Date:2014
Country:Perú
Institution:Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
Repository:Revistas - Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
Language:Spanish
OAI Identifier:oai:revistasinvestigacion.unmsm.edu.pe:article/11035
Online Access:https://revistasinvestigacion.unmsm.edu.pe/index.php/quipu/article/view/11035
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Bankruptcy
prediction models
ratio
Multiple Dis-criminant Analysis
Altman
Quiebra
modelos de predicción
Análisis Discriminante Múltiple
Altman.
Description
Summary:The companies increasingly interact with clients and providers. This situation requires adequate risk ma-nagement to prevent situations of financial distress. A company is technically insolvent when it has enough cash to make immediate payments. Therefore, one of the points to study is the financial solvency and risk to the bankruptcy of its customer base. To this end, there are techniques to measure the possibility of insolvency of a company. The most reliable is the Altman Z model, which is based on the statistical technique of Multiple Discriminant Analysis. This model uses financial ratios to determine the financial risk and predict whether a company is healthy from a financial point of view, or is on its way to become insolvent. The results found by Altman and revision of the original model proposed by him is presented.