Synergetic Application of Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Models to Credit Granting Decision Problems

Although various algorithms have widely been studied for bankruptcy and credit risk prediction, conclusions regarding the best performing method are divergent when using different performance assessment metrics. As a solution to this problem, the present paper suggests the employment of two well-kno...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: José Salvador Sánchez Garreta, Vicente Garcia
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:México
Institución:Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez
Repositorio:Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez
OAI Identifier:oai:uacj.mx:oai:cathi.uacj.mx:20.500.11961ir-11713
Acceso en línea:https://doi.org/10.3390/app9235052
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:multi-criteria decision-making
credit granting
prediction
TOPSIS
PROMETHEE
info:eu-repo/classification/cti/1
Descripción
Sumario:Although various algorithms have widely been studied for bankruptcy and credit risk prediction, conclusions regarding the best performing method are divergent when using different performance assessment metrics. As a solution to this problem, the present paper suggests the employment of two well-known multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques by integrating their preference scores, which can constitute a valuable tool for decision-makers and analysts to choose the prediction model(s) more properly. Thus, selection of the most suitable algorithm will be designed as an MCDM problem that consists of a finite number of performance metrics (criteria) and a finite number of classifiers (alternatives). An experimental study will be performed to provide a more comprehensive assessment regarding the behavior of ten classifiers over credit data evaluated with seven different measures, whereas the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) and Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment of Evaluations (PROMETHEE) techniques will be applied to rank the classifiers. The results demonstrate that evaluating the performance with a unique measure may lead to wrong conclusions, while theMCDMmethods may give rise to a more consistent analysis. Furthermore, the use of MCDM methods allows the analysts to weight the significance of each performance metric based on the intrinsic characteristics of a given credit granting decision problem.