The simultaneous application of control interventions can lead to catastrophic epidemic scenarios
We analyze the evolution of an infectious disease if infectious individuals are treated or isolated. The analysis of the model shows catastrophic scenarios for the population in which bringing R 0 below 1 is not enough to decrease the number of infectious individuals. Finally, we show three scenario...
| Autores: | , |
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| Tipo de documento: | artigo |
| Estado: | Versão publicada |
| Data de publicação: | 2021 |
| País: | México |
| Recursos: | Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo |
| Repositório: | Redalyc-UMSNH |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:redalyc.org:327070750003 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=327070750003 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3270/327070750003/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3270/327070750003/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3270/327070750003/327070750003.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/3270/327070750003/movil |
| Access Level: | Acceso aberto |
| Palavra-chave: | Física, Astronomía y Matemáticas treatment isolation Hopf bifurcation forward bifurcation Backward bifurcation |
| Resumo: | We analyze the evolution of an infectious disease if infectious individuals are treated or isolated. The analysis of the model shows catastrophic scenarios for the population in which bringing R 0 below 1 is not enough to decrease the number of infectious individuals. Finally, we show three scenarios for the behavior of the model solutions in which multiple endemic equilibria exist.MSC2010: 34C23, 34C40, 34C55, 34C60, 92D30. |
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