Application of a Duration Model in Programs for Prevention of University Attrition

Institutional practices related to the prevention of desertion of university students increasingly require validated instruments in order to anticipate such behavior. In this regard, different statistical models generated from information related to the students themselves, their homes, their academ...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Herrero, Verónica, Merlino, Aldo, Ayllón, Silvia, Escanés, Gabriel
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2013
País:México
Institución:UNIVERSIDAD AUTÓNOMA DE BAJA CALIFORNIA
Repositorio:Revista Electrónica de Investigacion Educativa
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.redie.uabc.mx:article/554
Acceso en línea:https://redie.uabc.mx/redie/article/view/554
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:University attrition
Duration models
Prediction of university stay.
Deserción universitaria
Modelos de duración
Predicción de permanencia.
Descripción
Sumario:Institutional practices related to the prevention of desertion of university students increasingly require validated instruments in order to anticipate such behavior. In this regard, different statistical models generated from information related to the students themselves, their homes, their academic performance, among other determinants have demonstrated to be of crucial value. This study aims to demonstrate the importance of a series of determinants explored in other studies. The main objective is to apply a dropout rate predictive model with at risk university students in order to generate early and progressively more effective results. The research demonstrates the usefulness of the duration models in a sample of classroom students and the capacity to anticipate behavior of permanence/attrition across time. This was done with risk estimates using the Cox model.