International transmission of U.S. macroeconomic shocks in the USMCA region*
We study the international transmission of U.S. real and financial shocks on the USMCA region using a global approach. The study relies on a GVAR (Global Vector Autoregressive) model and generalized impulse-response functions (GIRF). The main findings suggest that: 1) The USMCA economies are contemp...
| Autores: | , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | artículo |
| Estado: | Versión publicada |
| Fecha de publicación: | 2024 |
| País: | México |
| Recursos: | Universidad de Guadalajara |
| Repositorio: | Redalyc-UDG |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:redalyc.org:41377471002 |
| Acesso em linha: | https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=41377471002 https://www.redalyc.org/journal/413/41377471002/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/413/41377471002/html/ https://www.redalyc.org/journal/413/41377471002/41377471002.epub https://www.redalyc.org/journal/413/41377471002/movil https://doi.org/10.24275/uam/azc/dcsh/ae/2024v39n100/Anguiano |
| Access Level: | acceso abierto |
| Palavra-chave: | Economía y Finanzas USMCA GIRFs GVAR Model Macroeconomic shocks International transmission |
| Resumo: | We study the international transmission of U.S. real and financial shocks on the USMCA region using a global approach. The study relies on a GVAR (Global Vector Autoregressive) model and generalized impulse-response functions (GIRF). The main findings suggest that: 1) The USMCA economies are contemporaneously linked to the world economy mainly through private credit, international trade and real GDP; 2) shocks on U.S. GDP and U.S. trade flows have higher influence in Canada than in Mexico; 3) shocks on U.S. interest rates have higher influence in Mexico than in Canada; 4) the private credit and the international trade channels are the most important ones for the transmission of international macroeconomic shocks. The study relies on quarterly data for 33 countries of the period 1986:Q1-2019:Q4. |
|---|