Main determinants in Mexico's monetary policy decisions: An econometric analysis

This paper identifies the determinants that affect the probability of deviations from the target interest rate (overnight interbank rate) of Bank of Mexico, through the development of several binary probit models. Among, the determinants of monetary policy decisions of Bank of Mexico several macroec...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Téllez León, Isela Elizabeth, Venegas Martínez, Francisco
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2013
País:México
Institución:EL COLEGIO DE MÉXICO
Repositorio:Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:oai.estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx:article/84
Acceso en línea:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/84
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:binary probit models
monetary policy
macroeconomic variables
yield curve
C18
E52
E44
modelos probit binarios
política monetaria
variables macroeconómicas
curva de rendimientos
Descripción
Sumario:This paper identifies the determinants that affect the probability of deviations from the target interest rate (overnight interbank rate) of Bank of Mexico, through the development of several binary probit models. Among, the determinants of monetary policy decisions of Bank of Mexico several macroeconomic variables are identified in Mexico and the United States and, particularly, some nodes of the Treasury Certificates yield curve. The combination of these variables provides an adequate specification based on standard information criteria from econometric analysis.