Determinants of Electoral Turnout on the Southern Border of Mexico

In this article the determining factors of electoral turnout in states of the southern border of Mexico are analyzed. It tests the effect of variables suggested by literature on voting rates in local elections for the renovation of town halls in the years 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015, in the Mexican st...

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Bibliographic Details
Author: Triana Sánchez, Jorge Luis
Format: article
Status:Published version
Publication Date:2022
Country:México
Institution:UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL AUTÓNOMA DE MÉXICO
Repository:Península
Language:Spanish
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/83526
Online Access:https://www.revistas.unam.mx/index.php/peninsula/article/view/83526
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:democracy
local elections
voting rates
democracia
elecciones locales
tasas de votación
Description
Summary:In this article the determining factors of electoral turnout in states of the southern border of Mexico are analyzed. It tests the effect of variables suggested by literature on voting rates in local elections for the renovation of town halls in the years 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015, in the Mexican states of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana Roo and Tabasco, by means of the estimation of Probit-type fractional response regression models. The results show negative effects on the margin of victory, the number of candidates, education, and in migration, while the margin of advantage of the second place and the rural ambit had positive effects. Finally, the level of marginalization presented an inverted U-shaped effect.