The economic cycle of productivity and its relation with the political cycle in Mexico, 1993.1 - 2014.4

The political-business cycle (PBC) theory sustains that economies are positively influenced in the last year of each government administration and also they tend to slowdown in the first year. To investigate this hypothesis, we analyze the cycle of productivity of the manufacturing industry in Mexic...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Germán-Soto, Vicente, Gámez Garza, Cesáreo
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2017
País:México
Institución:EL COLEGIO DE MÉXICO
Repositorio:Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:oai.estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx:article/3
Acceso en línea:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/3
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:political-business cycle
productivity
unit roots
C22
E32
J24
O47
ciclo político-económico
productividad
raíces unitarias
Descripción
Sumario:The political-business cycle (PBC) theory sustains that economies are positively influenced in the last year of each government administration and also they tend to slowdown in the first year. To investigate this hypothesis, we analyze the cycle of productivity of the manufacturing industry in Mexico along 1993.1-2014.4. Results from dynamic models indicate that strength of productivity is relatively minor for the quarters 1 and 4, a finding that is related to the political cycle because elasticity also falls in the quarters of the first year of government and increases in the last.