Expectations hypothesis in the Cetes market in Mexico: 1990-1995

The objective of this essay is to analyze the expectations hypothesis under the assumption of rational expectations for the public bond market in Mexico. The results indicate that the expectations hypothesis with rational expectations is rejected. The empirical evidence also indicates that there is...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor: Galindo, Luis M.
Formato: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:1995
País:México
Recursos:EL COLEGIO DE MÉXICO
Repositorio:Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México
Idioma:español
OAI Identifier:oai:oai.estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx:article/271
Acesso em linha:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/271
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palavra-chave:public bond market
Mexico
interest rates
CETES
México
tasas de interés
Descrição
Resumo:The objective of this essay is to analyze the expectations hypothesis under the assumption of rational expectations for the public bond market in Mexico. The results indicate that the expectations hypothesis with rational expectations is rejected. The empirical evidence also indicates that there is a stable long term relationship between short and long term interest rates and that the term structure and the changes in the short term interest rates contain information with which future changes in interest rates can be forecasted.