ESTIMATION OF TROPHIC STATUS IN WARM TROPICAL LAKES AND RESERVOIRS OF LATIN AMERICA BY USING GPSS SIMULATION

This paper proposes a stochastic simulation model to determine the boundaries of the trophic states of warm-water tropical lakes and reservoirs in Latin America based on statistical correlation and MonteCarlo techniques. The model was developed using GPSS as a discrete simulation language and calibr...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: ORTIZ JIMENEZ, MARIO A., DE ANDA, JOSE, MANIAK, ULRICH
Tipo de recurso: artículo
Estado:Versión publicada
Fecha de publicación:2006
País:México
Institución:Universidad Autónoma de Nayarit
Repositorio:Repositorio Institucional Aramara de la UAN
Idioma:inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:dspace.uan.mx:123456789/26
Acceso en línea:http://dspace.uan.mx:8080/jspui/handle/123456789/26
Access Level:acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Trophic State
Eutrophication
GPSS
Simulation Models
Lakes
Reservoirs
INGENIERÍA Y TECNOLOGÍA [7]
Descripción
Sumario:This paper proposes a stochastic simulation model to determine the boundaries of the trophic states of warm-water tropical lakes and reservoirs in Latin America based on statistical correlation and MonteCarlo techniques. The model was developed using GPSS as a discrete simulation language and calibrated by correlating a set of state variables of 27 Latin American lakes and reservoirs monitored by the Pan American Center of Sanitary Engineering and Environmental Sciences (CEPIS). In order to warrant a better stability in the resultant probabilistic behavior of the dependent variable, 10000 new virtual water bodies with different trophic states were generated to produce a trophic state index based on the total phosphorus concentration. Based on the obtained results, it is concluded that the applied methodology is appropriate to determine the boundaries of the trophic states of warm-water tropical lakes and reservoirs and is also able to generate results similar to those obtained using the existing applied estimation techniques.